MORE TRS POLL NUMBERS: Hugo and Davis TIED; Miyares Leads in AG Ticket
Another TRS Poll scheduled for TOMORROW AM (so get ready to vote)!
If you are still trying to piece together how to vote in the RPV Convention this Saturday, May 8th? A quick tutorial:
Click here for your voting location. Just search for your congressional voting district and then select the voting location with your locality.
Remember that it is a ranked choice ballot. Namely that you will vote for your favorite candidate, then your second favorite candidate, and so on. If your first choice doesn’t win and you don’t fill out your other choices? Your ballot ceases to count and your weighted vote gets redistributed. So you can do this, but it isn’t recommended.
Click here for a helpful FAQ. If you need more information on precisely how ranked choice voting works? Check out this helpful op-ed from Eric Wilson over at TRS. If you want to meet all of the candidates in their best possible light, click here to see their intro videos.
Hope that helps!
With the latest TRS Poll showing former Speaker Kirk Cox at 41% with Disruptor CEO Pete Snyder a strong second at 25% and former Carlyle CEO Glenn Youngkin at 19%, many consultants have felt the need to impart their wisdom upon me.
Mostly those who disagreed with the outcome (of course).
The funniest one came from Chris LaCivita — a longtime political strategist in Virginia — who offered the strongest possible endorsement to the numbers you are about to see in a heartfelt and touching display of human emotion.
I’m flattered.
So for all the talk of the Trafalgar Poll showing Youngkin with an unexpected lead, or other “straw polls” showing leads, or even the humble TRS Poll whose results you will read below?
Take them all with a grain of salt (or a dollop of BS, if you will).
If one must, place these polls and last-minute attacks/endorsements between a hunch and an educated guess. The results are entirely within the hands of the campaigns themselves.
Either they will earn your support and you will vote or you will choose to enjoy a sunny and pleasant May afternoon (but we all hope you’ll do your part and VOTE).
Of course, if you really like polls? The PredictIt markets continue to provide entertainment every 15 seconds.
Gentlemen, place your bets accordingly.
Lt. Governor: Hugo and Davis Tied, Sears Surging at 2nd Place
Former Delegate Tim Hugo (R-Fairfax) holds a slight edge against Delegate Glenn Davis (R-Virginia Beach) at 30% and 29% respectively in a statistical tie for 1st place, with former Delegate Winsome Sears (R-Norfolk) surging into 2nd place with 25% of the vote.
As you can see from the ranked choice balloting, Davis holds an advantage over Hugo as the dominoes begin to fall. But this race isn’t just too close to call — it is a very real three way race at present.
Meanwhile, keep your eyes on Puneet Ahluwalia. Puneet was the first who decided to take on critical race theory as a concept back in early March when it was politically dangerous to do so.
Puneet says in one minute what it takes most of us a solid 15 minutes to say.
Seriously — it is that good.
Attorney General: Miyares Widens Lead at 52%
This one remains the one race that has Delegate Jason Miyares (R-Virginia Beach) over Supervisor Leslie Haley (R-Chesterfield) and Chuck Smith.
Miyares enjoys the support of 52% of the electorate, with Haley at 20%, Smith at 18% and Jack White — whose political intro ad was quite stellar — at 9%.
Keep your eyes on Chuck Smith.
Some good news? TRS will lead with another poll TOMORROW in what will be our FINAL POLL for the Virginia GOP gubernatorial nod.
This will be Virginia Republican’s last chance to make their voices heard before the convention. So buckle up and stay tuned tomorrow AM!
Meanwhile, CNU Wason lead with a survey this morning indicating that the Virginia electorate has cooled away from the Democrats and in favor of Republicans, narrowing the generic ballot gap from D+12 to a mere D+2.
If that is the case? This is great news for the Republican nominee, because it means not only that Democrats are cooling to the idea of a McAuliffe candidacy but that Virginians overall are leaning to the center-right in a big way.
You can read the rest of the CNU survey here. Chris Saxman with Virginia FREE has a breakdown of the numbers that is definitely worth your time.
As always, thank you for being a TRS Newsletter reader during the Virginia GOP nomination contest. As always, we do not endorse in the intramurals. But we do try to keep our guns trained outside of the Big Tent and on the real opposition.
Because let’s face it — America isn’t gonna save itself.
Shaun Kenney is the editor of The Republican Standard, former chairman of the Board of Supervisors for Fluvanna County, and a former executive director of the Republican Party of Virginia.